ETF Securities Research Blog

Proposed OPEC cuts to have little effect

OPEC members reached an understanding that a production cut is required at its meeting in Algiers yesterday. That is not yet a commitment to cut production and the cartel is likely to wait until its formal meeting in Vienna on November 30th to thrash out the details. A press release on the group’s website says it will target between 32.5 to 33 million barrels per day of production, down from 33.2 million barrels of production in August.

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BoJ unlikely to cut rates further

Yesterday, Governor Kuroda presented his “comprehensive assessment” of the BoJ’s monetary easing, a highly anticipated review that resulted in a market sell-off of long-dated Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) in July as investors feared a reduction in monetary accommodation. In his speech, Kuroda stated that the BoJ will continue to provide monetary easing while suggesting he will refrain from cutting interest rates further. Read more…

Fed on hold in September as US non-farm payrolls disappoint

The Fed has another excuse to hold off on a September rate hike. Although Chair Yellen said that the case for a rate hike has strengthened in recent months at the Jackson Hole Symposium, she indicated that the decision will be heavily data dependent. A string of worse-than-expected data since that announcement – ISM manufacturing, non-farm payrolls and auto-sales – gives the Fed reason to maintain their dovish stance for now. Read more…